The Moda Center Deal.

Portland owns the building. The tenant already owes the upkeep. The city promised not to make him pay it β€” then offered to pay it instead. Council votes August 12.

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The Blazers are staying. The arena is getting renovated. Good.

Nobody in this conversation wants the Blazers to leave. The Moda Center should be renovated. That's not the debate.

The debate is about the terms β€” because right now, Portland is being offered the worst arena deal in the country. It starts with a fact most Portlanders don't know.

Portland owns the Moda Center.

In 2024, the City of Portland bought the arena for $1. The land, the building, everything. Tom Dundon β€” the Dallas billionaire whose group closed on the team at a $4 billion valuation in March 2026 β€” rents that building for $1 a year.

And the tenant is already legally required to maintain it. Since 1993, the operator has been obligated to keep the Moda Center in first-class condition at its own expense. That obligation still exists on paper today.

But in the same September 2024 closing where Portland took ownership, the city signed a lease in which it "agrees not to raise, assert, pursue, or otherwise enforce in any manner" that obligation for the entire term.

The city acquired the building and gave away its power to make the tenant maintain it β€” on the same day. Then it proposed paying for that maintenance itself.

The deal on the table.

"Historically, other owners have committed years and put in money… In Portland?"
β€” Tom Dundon, The Athletic, March 31, 2026. His first day as owner. Asked why he won't contribute money like other owners have.

The relocation threat isn't real.

Councilor Novick: "I think that's ridiculous. Dundon and his partners just poured $4.2 billion into getting the team. They're not going to leave over a few hundred million dollars. I don't like the idea of being railroaded."

The Glickman Contract.

Named for Dr. Robert Glickman, the Portland physician who negotiated the original $1 purchase of Moda Center. Two components: fair market rent (what Dundon owes for operating a publicly owned building, regardless of who renovates it) and capital recovery (the public's return on $871M). Together: $64M/year β€” exactly $1M less than Dundon's self-funding cost.

Component A: Fair Market Rent β€” $15M/year

TermAnnualRationale
Base rent$10.0MRaleigh pays $4.5M in a market 1/3 Portland's size
Payments in lieu of taxes$1.5MStandard in 9 of 12 comparable NBA deals
Community investment fund$3.5MRose Quarter & Lower Albina development
Subtotal A$15.0MOwed regardless of who renovates

Component B: Capital Recovery β€” $49M/year

TermAnnualRationale
Capital recovery payment$25.0MFixed annual return on $871M public investment
Naming rights (65% to public)$10.0M floorNBA naming rights: $10–20M/yr gross
Non-basketball events (25%)$8.0M floor~270 events/yr; operator captures 100% today
Revenue sharing (8% above $150M)~$6.0MCaptures upside from public-funded renovation
Subtotal B$49.0MReturn on $871M public investment
Our deal
$64M
per year to Dundon
His self-funding cost
$65M
debt service + rent
Public net return
+$409M
over 20 years

Public invests $871M. Public recovers $1,280M. State: +$172M. City: +$190M. County: +$47M. Dundon saves $20M total vs. self-funding β€” just barely better than going it alone. He takes the deal.

Andrew Zimbalist β€” Robert A. Woods Professor of Economics, Smith College; 24 books on sports economics; NPR commentator; consultant to cities, teams, and leagues β€” reviewed this analysis: "Definitely seems that Portland is being too concessionary."

How Portland's deal compares.

The Blazers' own negotiator prepared the market comparables used by the city and legislators β€” excluding the deals that looked bad for his client.

Golden State Warriors100% private β€” $1.4B
100% private
Seattle / Climate Pledge Arena100% private β€” $1.15B
100% private
Sacramento Kings~50% public
~50% public
Milwaukee Bucks~50% public
~50% public
Portland (proposed)100% public β€” $871M
100% public

The Blazers' negotiator Dan Barrett was the lead negotiator for the public in both Sacramento and Milwaukee β€” the deals he excluded from Portland's comparables. He knows what the public can get when properly represented.

The mayor keeps making our argument.

At his April 8 press conference, Wilson called Portland the Blazers' "landlord" and Moda Center "a pretty good asset to own." He's right on both counts. So why isn't the landlord charging rent?

He also admitted the renovation cost is invented: "It's less than $600 million. We're just using that as a kind of placeholder number." The public commits $871M based on a figure the mayor himself calls a placeholder.

On the city's leverage: "That's just reality." It isn't. Portland owns the building, the team cannot relocate, and Dundon's self-funding cost is $65M/year. The city has every lever. It just has to choose to pull them.

Questions about this deal?

An AI trained on the full public record β€” PRR documents, financial analysis, internal emails, text messages, and comparable deals β€” is standing by.

Based on public records and independent analysis. Verify claims against primary sources.

You've got the gist. Now we go deeper.

What the Public Records Actually Show

The following connects the documentary record β€” PRR filings, text messages, internal emails, invoices, and calendar invites β€” to show how this deal was built, who built it, and what questions remain unanswered.

Finding 1

The PCEF Money Was Already Spent

The Portland Clean Energy Fund was created by voters to fund climate investments in frontline communities β€” not a general discretionary fund. When Wilson proposed using $75M of it for Moda Center, internal documents from PRR C443668 show the city already knew otherwise.

PRR C443668 β€” Internal city Q&A for reporters, February 2026
"All current and forecasted PCEF funds are allocated through the Climate Investment Plan through June 30, 2029. Because all PCEF resources are already allocated in the current CIP, commitments in the current CIP would need to be modified in order for PCEF funds to support the Moda renovation effort."
PCEF balance at start of fiscal year: $739,542,176 β€” all already committed.

Using PCEF for Moda means canceling or deferring existing climate programs β€” not drawing from surplus. The city knew this while publicly saying PCEF "could potentially" support the renovation. Councilor Clark told constituents the PCEF committee had endorsed Moda; internal records show only an "awareness" site visit occurred. Councilor Novick will not vote for PCEF use β€” a live obstacle for the city's $405M commitment.

Finding 2

The Mayor Used Different Numbers for Different Audiences β€” on the Same Day

The February 5, 2026 event memo for Wilson’s Oregon Capitol visit covers fourteen back-to-back legislative meetings, from Senate President Rob Wagner to House Republican Leader Lucetta Elmer. It contains two separate talking-point sets:

For Democrats
City plan of "over $365M" β€” $125M upfront plus $12M/year.
For Republicans
City plan of "over $260M" β€” $175M upfront plus $18M/year.

A $105M gap between the two versions β€” used in the same building on the same day. The public figure ultimately became $405M, a third number different from both. The city was using figures as persuasion tools, not financial facts.

Finding 3

Stafford Sports Had No Authorization for Most of Its Work

The city's financial advisor is Stafford Sports, LLC β€” a City Attorney Consultant Contract that shields all work product behind attorney-client privilege. The public has never seen any of their financial analysis, deal memos, or negotiating recommendations. The contract was scoped in 2021 for a single task: the bridge lease extension, at a task order value of $15,750.

PRR C454414 β€” Request for Stafford task orders beyond TO1
Status: Closed β€” No Applicable Records Available.
Yet Part 6 of the Stafford time sheets (670 pages) shows hundreds of thousands of dollars billed for SB 1501 work, the Charlotte/Raleigh trip, and reviewing the bill's draft during the legislative vote β€” with no formal task order authorizing any of it.

Unresolved conflict: Stafford's website lists prior work on "Moda Center (Trail Blazers)." The city hired its counterpart's former consultant, made all findings privileged, paid 0.029% of deal value, and no conflict-of-interest disclosure appears anywhere. Carl Hirsh also flew first class on the Charlotte/Raleigh trip, billed to the city as economy.

Finding 4

The Trip Studied Only the Arenas That Proved the Blazers' Point

In December 2025, city staff flew to Charlotte and Raleigh β€” accompanied by Blazers executives and Stafford's Carl Hirsh, all on the city's dime. They visited only 100% publicly funded arenas. They did not visit Milwaukee, Sacramento, Seattle, or any arena with significant private contribution.

NC_TRIP_ITINERARY_12-2025_FINAL.pdf β€” stated business purpose
"Strengthening key relationships prior to closing of the Blazers pending sale… learn about experiences of Raleigh's arena owners working with Tom Dundon's ownership group."
Blazers staff were listed as "Confirmed" participants in the original itinerary β€” not optional add-ons. The city's official PRR response contradicts this directly.
Finding 5

The Blazers Wrote the Pitch Deck the City Used with Legislators

Dan Barrett (Blazers' negotiator) prepared the financial comparable analysis that legislators relied on. He previously served as the lead negotiator for the public in Sacramento and Milwaukee β€” deals with ~50% private contributions β€” both of which he excluded from the Portland comparables.

When city staffer Karl Lisle suggested adding Milwaukee and Sacramento, Barrett replied: "As the lead negotiator for the public sector in both Sacramento and Milwaukee, I can say that the market has clearly changed." He used his record of protecting the public in those cities as the reason to exclude those deals from Portland's analysis.

On January 15, 2026, Aisling Coghlan (mayor's chief of staff) distributed the Blazers' own "Rip City Runs Deep" advocacy toolkit to legislators β€” the city circulated the Blazers' marketing materials as independent analysis.

Finding 6

Project Mt. Hood: The Secret Weekly Meetings

Beginning November 3, 2025, city officials held weekly Monday meetings under the code name "Project Mt. Hood." PRR C454415 produced the original calendar invite.

PRR C454415 β€” Calendar invite, October 22, 2025
Required attendees: Oliveira (city deputy admin), Biery (CFO), Ansary (deputy CoS), Lisle (venues), Dan Jarman (Blazers lobbyist), Natalie King (Blazers SVP), Dewayne Hankins (Blazers president), Dan Barrett (Blazers negotiator), Joth Ricci (private citizen, jothricci@gmail.com). Also included: Governor's office, Multnomah County.

Joth Ricci β€” former Dutch Bros CEO and Rip City Forever founder β€” attended as a private citizen with no disclosed public role. He forwarded the invite to city officials himself and is listed as a required attendee. The entity seeking $871M was in the room designing the pitch every Monday for months.

Finding 7

The Gift Campaign: Suite Tickets, Tours, and a Letter of Support

Blazers lobbyists Ryann Gleason (CFM Advocates) and Dan Jarman (Crosswater Strategies) ran a coordinated access campaign from before the new council was even sworn in.

November 2024

Jarman obtained OGEC Advice No. 24-537I β€” pre-authorizing suite tickets before inauguration. OGEC found pre-inauguration electeds aren't "public officials" under ORS Ch. 244. The Blazers timed the event to exploit this window.

January 2025

AAPI Night β€” Koyama Lane and Kanal invited with complimentary suite tickets.

March 2025 β€” Women's History Night

Suite invitations to city councilors, Oregon state legislators (including Drazan, Sollman, Pham, others), BOLI Commissioner Christina Stephenson, and Multnomah County Commissioner.

March 2025 β€” Child ticket dispute

Pirtle-Guiney's office asked to bring her daughter free. City attorney: "While state law allows acceptance of the gift of entertainment for a relative, city administrative rules do not." Pirtle-Guiney's staff asked to "bypass the attorney check-in." She paid $120 for her daughter's ticket.

July 2025

Jarman separately invited Wilson and councilors Pirtle-Guiney, Ryan, and Kanal to a private tour-and-lunch at Moda Center, to brief them on ECOnorthwest's economic impact study β€” during the months before the council vote.

February 2026

Natalie King (Blazers SVP) thanked Pirtle-Guiney specifically for her letter of support for SB 1501, then requested a follow-up meeting to discuss next steps.

Outstanding question: Were all gifts from the Blazers to Portland officials properly disclosed on required ethics filings? No OGEC disclosure filings for this campaign have appeared in any public records response to date.
Finding 8

The Threats

Between February and March 2026, Blazers lobbyists told at least four Portland city council members their political careers would suffer if the team left Portland β€” delivered privately, never in public testimony.

PRR C454690 β€” Text messages, Councilor Koyama Lane, March 2026
"Lobbyists for the Portland Trail Blazers have made it clear that elected officials will be blamed if the team leaves Portland."

These are the same lobbyists simultaneously running the suite ticket access campaign above. Gifts that create access and goodwill, followed by private threats when a vote approaches β€” a textbook influence operation.

Finding 9

Who Is Tom Dundon?

On March 25, 2026, ProPublica and OPB published internal emails showing Dundon, as CEO of Santander Consumer USA, personally ordered the company to stop requiring proof of income on car loans in 2013. His chief risk officer flagged potential federal law violations in writing. Dundon proceeded.

Oregon's attorney general called the practices "predatory and harmful." Thirty-three states settled for $550M. Dundon left with a $700M separation package β€” used to buy the NHL's Carolina Hurricanes and now the Trail Blazers.

Oregon AG Dan Rayfield is now separately investigating Exeter Finance β€” another subprime auto lender where Dundon is chairman, staffed with former Santander executives involved in the original practices.

The Glickman Contract doesn't change whether the deal happens. It changes whether Portland gets paid for it.

Finding 10

The Silver Visit Was a Post-Passage Celebration β€” Not a Community Visit

On March 13, 2026 β€” one week after SB 1501 passed β€” NBA Commissioner Adam Silver visited Portland for a private reception at Moda Center organized by the Trail Blazers. The city's own event memo states the desired outcome was to "Celebrate the recent passage of SB 1501 that directs $356 million for the Moda Center renovation." This was a victory party for the officials who delivered the bill, not a neutral community engagement.

Reception attendee list β€” PRR C454416_000249
Commissioner Silver; NBA executives; Dewayne Hankins (Blazers); Oregon First Lady Aimee Kotek-Wilson; Secretary of State Tobias Read; Senate President Rob Wagner; Senate Majority Leader Kayse Jama; House Majority Leader Ben Bowman; Representatives Sanchez and Wise; City Council Vice President Clark; Councilors Pirtle-Guiney and Kanal; Multnomah County Chair Vega Pederson; County Commissioner Singleton; Nike CEO Elliot Hill; Nike President Amy Montagne; Jordan Brand President Larry Miller.
Nike's full Portland corporate leadership was in the same room as the legislators who had just voted for the bill and the councilors who still needed to vote on the city's $405M commitment.

The councilor invitations were sent by Natalie King (Blazers SVP) on March 10 β€” with Ryann Gleason, the gift campaign lobbyist, CC'd on the response threads. In the same email, King offered Pirtle-Guiney Women's History Night as an add-on if she wanted to stay for the game. The Silver reception and the suite ticket campaign were being run as a single coordinated operation by the same people.

Earlier, on February 2 β€” while the bill was still moving through the legislature β€” the mayor's office urgently scheduled a three-way call between Wilson, Governor Kotek, and Silver. The scheduling emails were marked "Importance: High." Silver was being used as a lobbying asset before the vote, not just a celebration prop after it.

Finding 11

Playoff Tickets and a Private Dundon Meeting β€” While the Vote Is Pending

On April 26, 2026 β€” while the city council's vote on $405 million in public funding remained pending β€” Councilors Pirtle-Guiney, Kanal, and Ryan attended a Trail Blazers playoff game on complimentary tickets and met privately with owner Tom Dundon. The event was reported by Willamette Week on April 30, 2026.

The tickets were in Section 218, lower bowl β€” a section that sells for over $200 per seat in the regular season and significantly more in the playoffs. The ceremonial exemption was invoked: the councilors helped pass a basketball onto the court before tip-off. Pirtle-Guiney's spokeswoman said she "emphasized with him the critical importance of lease negotiations striking a good deal for Portlanders" β€” meaning substantive deal negotiations were conducted in the context of a comped ticket event.

The full access sequence: Pre-inauguration OGEC pre-clearance (Nov 2024) β†’ AAPI Night suite tickets (Jan 2025) β†’ Women's History Night suite access (Mar 2025) β†’ Private tour and ECOnorthwest briefing (Jul 2025) β†’ SB 1501 support letter thank-you (Feb 2026) β†’ Silver reception (Mar 2026) β†’ Playoff tickets and private Dundon meeting (Apr 2026). Pirtle-Guiney and Kanal appear in the documented record at three separate ticketed events over 15 months, all from the same lobbying operation, all while the same vote was pending.
Finding 12

The City Hid Its Own Cost Study Until a Reporter Forced It Out

In May 2024 β€” eighteen months before SB 1501 passed β€” the City commissioned an independent Facility Condition Assessment of the Moda Center from Venue Solutions Group, a national arena consulting firm. It found the building's total 20-year capital needs to be $504,877,921. The study was never disclosed during the SB 1501 debate and never referenced in any legislative hearing. It became public only when The Oregonian obtained it through a records request in June 2026. The city now publishes the adjusted $482M figure on its own Moda facts page β€” after the legislative vote it would have informed had already happened.

Throughout the debate, the city cited $600 million as the renovation cost β€” a figure that originated with the Blazers' own consultants and that Mayor Wilson himself called "a placeholder number."

An important distinction, stated honestly: The assessment measures what the building needs to stay operational for 20 years β€” not the cost of a transformative renovation, which would include new amenities not in the study. The city's own internal memo (Karl Lisle to Donnie Oliveira, June 3, 2026) makes this point and says the two figures should not be directly compared. The finding is not "the renovation only costs $505M." It is that the city possessed independent analysis of the building's real capital needs and never put it in front of the public or the legislature.

That same memo does its own breakdown: removing already-completed and decommissioned items brings the figure to ~$482M, and removing everything tied specifically to NBA/Blazers needs (team locker rooms, broadcast facilities, courtside club) brings it to ~$402M β€” meaning roughly $80M of the plan exists because of the very tenant contributing nothing toward it.

The memo also points to the obligation that never entered the public conversation: the operator is contractually required to maintain the Moda Center to a "first-class" standard at its own expense. Under the 1993 Arena Ground Lease, that duty was continuously enforceable, and the city retained full mid-term remedies including the right to sue without terminating the lease.

2024 Arena Operating Lease §10.2 — executed September 19, 2024
Landlord "agrees not to raise, assert, pursue, or otherwise enforce in any manner" the first-class obligations of Tenant during the Term.
The obligation survives on paper. Statutes of limitation are tolled so the claim is preserved — but only becomes actionable at termination, after the tenant is gone. In the same closing where Portland took ownership of the building, it contracted away its own power to enforce the tenant's duty to maintain it.

So "the building needs repairs" is not an argument for the subsidy. It is an argument for enforcing the lease the city already has — and for asking why the city gave up the right to do so.

Finding 13

The City Agreed to Disguise Its Own Records as "Project Friday"

On February 22, 2022 β€” more than two years before the city acquired the Moda Center and nearly four years before SB 1501 β€” the City signed a non-disclosure agreement with the Trail Blazers. It is not a mutual NDA. It runs one direction: the city agreed to protect the Blazers' information. And one provision goes well beyond ordinary confidentiality.

Non-Disclosure Agreement β€” Paragraph 11 (February 22, 2022)
"The City agrees to ensure that City-created written records of the existence of any meeting of City personnel with RCM/TBI (including, without limitation, all calendars and planners of City employees and officials) refer only to 'Meeting Regarding Project Friday' and do not mention RCM/TBI by name, the subject of the meeting, the names of any personnel of RCM/TBI, or the name of any consultant, attorney, or advisor to RCM/TBI."
The city contractually agreed to make its own public records deliberately uninformative β€” so that a future records request could not reveal who the city met with or what was discussed.

This is the origin of the "Project Mt. Hood" code name. Disguising Blazers meetings under a cover label wasn't an ad hoc staff decision in 2025 β€” it was a contractual obligation the city accepted in 2022.

The agreement was also built to defeat public records requests. The city pre-agreed to assert exemptions on the Blazers' behalf, to refuse disclosure unless ordered by the district attorney, and to tip off the Blazers whenever anyone filed a records request, subpoena, or lawsuit so they could move to block it. Signing an NDA to receive confidential information is ordinary. Agreeing to make your own public records misleading, and to help a private party defeat disclosure, is not.

The same Senior Deputy City Attorney, Kenneth McGair, approved this 2022 agreement and later served as the "Monitoring Attorney" on the Stafford contract that shields the city's financial advisory work product. He is the consistent legal hand behind both.

Finding 14

In April, the City Attorney Used the Tenant's Obligation to Say No

On April 6, 2026, the Blazers asked the city to accelerate its capital contribution and to open the Spectator Facilities Fund to them — including revenue from non-Blazers events. The City Attorney refused, and the reason he gave is the whole case in one sentence.

Senior Deputy City Attorney Ken McGair to the Trail Blazers, April 22, 2026
"Section 5 of the AOL places the responsibility for ongoing maintenance, repair and replacement of the arena on the Tenant, to be performed at the Tenant's sole cost and expense in a first-class operating condition consistent with the Operating Standard."
The city's own senior lawyer, in writing, invoking the tenant's maintenance obligation as grounds to refuse a request for public money.

McGair also held the line on the money itself, citing the lease requirement that city spending be matched 50/50 by the operator and limited to revenue from Blazers games. The team wanted public funds from concerts and other events. In April, the city said no.

Three months later, the city proposed to fund that same maintenance itself. Nothing in the lease changed in between. So when anyone says Portland has no leverage, note that the City Attorney found and used exactly that leverage in April.

Finding 15

The City Capped Committee Attendance to Stay Under the Public Meetings Threshold

On December 19, 2025, Deputy City Administrator Donnie Oliveira asked the Blazers to host a Rose Quarter tour for members of the PCEF committee — the body that would have to approve using clean energy money for the arena. He described it as "a chance to walk through for members as we provide awareness for a potential investment of PCEF."

The Blazers offered three dates, including a game night, and hosted lunch. On January 9, 2026, PCEF program manager Sam Baraso confirmed the arrangements in an email to the team:

PCEF Program Manager Sam Baraso to the Trail Blazers, January 9, 2026 — PRR C454412
"We expect 3 to 4 of our staff and up to 4 PCEF Committee members (we'll keep Committee attendance at 4 to stay within public meetings requirements)."
Written by a city program manager, to the private party seeking the funds, with the mayor's chief of staff and the Blazers' public affairs director copied.

Oregon's public meetings law attaches when a quorum of a governing body convenes. Holding attendance to four kept the gathering below that line — no public notice, no minutes, no observers. The committee members who would vote on the money toured the building with the applicant, and the session was structured so it would not be a public meeting.

The same PCEF production shows the city telling The Oregonian that all PCEF funds were already allocated through June 2029, while telling PBS it was not diverting anything. It also shows Deputy City Administrator Oliveira ordering the city's Moda web page taken down in February because it was "way to PCEF centric."

Outstanding Questions

What We Still Don't Know

Keep the Blazers.
Get a fair deal.
It's that simple.

The Blazers aren't going anywhere. Read the full financial analysis. Contact your council member. Demand binding lease terms before the city enters the joint authority.

Full Financial Analysis Model Resolution (PDF)